Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 73.5% on "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?". $4.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 9.

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
74%
EconomyVol $4.9KTotal volume $4.9KLiquidity $4.5Kin 3 months (Dec 9)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
73.5%
No change
26.5%
50+ bps increase
2.65%
25 bps decrease
1.85%
50+ bps decrease
1.10%

Probability over time

25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.