Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 52.0% on "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $923 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 9.

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
▼0.552%
EconomyVol $923Total volume $45KLiquidity $2.3Kin 2 months (Dec 9)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
52.0%
▼0.5
No change
36.5%
▼2.0
50+ bps increase
3.90%
▲0.5
50+ bps decrease
1.65%
–
25 bps decrease
0.60%
–

Probability over time

25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
50+ bps decrease
25 bps decrease
02550751009/99/179/2510/310/1110/1910/25
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-10-25 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.