RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-20%" at 32.0% on "RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-20%
▼3.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-20%
32.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 0-10%
31.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 45-50%
29.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 25-30%
29.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 50%+
27.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 35-40%
25.5%
▼8.5
Democrat 30-35%
23.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 40-45%
22.0%
▼11.5
Democrat 20-25%
21.5%
▼14.5
Republican Wins
3.60%
▼17.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
