RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 27.5% on "RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $111 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▼3.028%
PoliticsVol $111Total volume $7.6KLiquidity $87Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
27.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 30-35%
27.5%
▲8.5
Democrat 35-40%
23.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
15.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 20-25%
10.1%
▲3.3
Democrat 50%+
10.0%
▲1.9
Democrat 45-50%
10.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 10-20%
1.95%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.85%
–
Republican Wins
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 50%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
