Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Ruas 5-10%" at 36.5% on "Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $371 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Ruas 5-10%
–37%
PoliticsVol $371Total volume $371Liquidity $14Kin 19 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ruas 5-10%
36.5%
–
Ruas 15-20%
27.5%
–
Ruas <5%
27.5%
–
Ruas 20%+
15.5%
–
Paes wins
5.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.