Russia military action against EU country by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 20.5% on "Russia military action against EU country by...?". $213 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–21%
PoliticsVol $213Total volume $325KLiquidity $12KComments 5in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
20.5%
–
December 31, 2026
6.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
2026-09-20 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %
