Russia military action against EU country by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 22.0% on "Russia military action against EU country by...?". $22K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–22%
PoliticsVol $22KTotal volume $22KLiquidity $42KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
22.0%
–
September 30
2.85%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
