Russia nuclear test by...?
Polymarket traders put "Russia nuclear test by...?" at 4.7%. Unchanged from yesterday. $181 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
–5%
PoliticsVol $181Total volume $6.3MLiquidity $26KComments 10in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
4.70%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
