Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▲0.556%
PoliticsVol $3.1KTotal volume $6.0MLiquidity $268KComments 131in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
55.5%
▲0.5
March 31, 2027
44.0%
▲3.5
December 31
21.5%
▼2.0
October 31
8.50%
–
August 31
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
