Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Most likely right now
December 31
–16%
PoliticsVol $2.7KTotal volume $1.1MLiquidity $348KComments 33in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
15.5%
–
October 31
7.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
