Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 8.5% on "Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $7.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.09%
PoliticsVol $7.4KTotal volume $2.2MLiquidity $259KComments 37in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
8.50%
▼1.0
October 31
2.15%
–
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
