Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 30.5% on "Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by...?". $210K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31
–31%
PoliticsVol $210KTotal volume $210KLiquidity $313Kin 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
30.5%
–
November 30
16.5%
–
November 15
3.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
