Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "AfD" at 99.1% on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 6.

Most likely right now
AfD
0.599%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $887KLiquidity $282KComments 3in 11 days (Sep 6)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
AfD
99.1%
0.5
CDU
0.65%
SPD
0.05%
The Greens
0.05%
The Left
0.05%
FDP
0.05%
BSW
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.