Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Caroline Émond" at 69.5% on "Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner". $385 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 7.

Most likely right now
Caroline Émond
–70%
PoliticsVol $385Total volume $385Liquidity $11Kin 1 months (Dec 7)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Caroline Émond
69.5%
–
Chantal Soucy
29.0%
–
Luc Brodeur-Jourdain
20.5%
–
Mathieu Boisvert
4.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.