Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?" at 6.0%. Down 42.5%p from yesterday. $5.6K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
42.56%
TechVol $5.6KTotal volume $5.6KLiquidity $4.9Kin 15 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
6.00%
42.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.