Saudi airspace closed by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 22.5% on "Saudi airspace closed by...?". $13K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–23%
PoliticsVol $13KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $36Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
22.5%
–
October 31
14.0%
–
September 30
7.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
