Saudi airspace closed by...?

Polymarket traders put "Saudi airspace closed by...?" at 9.5%. Down 4.5%p from yesterday. $4.0K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼4.510%
PoliticsVol $4.0KTotal volume $508KLiquidity $23KComments 1in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
9.50%
▼4.5

Probability over time

December 31
02550751009/219/2910/710/1510/2310/3111/4
2026-09-21 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.