Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 12" at 55.0% on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. $217K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 12
▲5.055%
PoliticsVol $217KTotal volume $217KLiquidity $2.5Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 12
55.0%
▲5.0
October 31
43.5%
▼6.5
October 2
42.5%
▼7.5
October 3
42.0%
▼8.0
October 11
41.0%
▼9.0
October 6
37.0%
▼13.0
October 8
36.5%
▼13.5
October 4
30.0%
▼20.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
