Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 31.5% on "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?". $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
32%
PoliticsVol $7.5KTotal volume $7.5KLiquidity $26Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
31.5%
September 30
12.5%
September 23
4.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.