Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 15.0% on "Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?". $197 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
–15%
PoliticsVol $197Total volume $120KLiquidity $23KComments 2in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
15.0%
–
October 31, 2026
2.90%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
02550751009/139/219/2910/710/1510/2310/29
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-29 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.