Sergipe Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Fábio" at 73.5% on "Sergipe Governor Election Winner". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
Fábio
1.074%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $37Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Fábio
73.5%
1.0
Valmir de Francisquinho
21.5%
1.0
Taty Cristina de Jesus
0.65%
Emanuel Cacho
0.55%
Dr. Helton
0.40%
Ricardo Marques
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.