Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "↓ 4%" at 59.5% on "Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $13K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↓ 4%
▲9.560%
PoliticsVol $13KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $49Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ 4%
59.5%
▲9.5
↑ 8%
14.5%
▼36.0
↑ 10%
11.5%
▲5.0
Probability over time
↓ 4%
↑ 8%
↑ 10%
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
