Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
Polymarket traders put "October 22" at 31.5% on "Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?". Down 18.5%p from yesterday. $84 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
October 22
▼18.532%
PoliticsVol $84Total volume $84Liquidity $2.6Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 22
31.5%
▼18.5
October 27
31.0%
▼19.0
October 28
31.0%
▼19.0
October 15
30.5%
▼19.5
October 29
30.5%
▼19.5
October 16
30.0%
▼20.0
October 18
29.5%
▼20.5
October 14
29.0%
▼21.0
October 25
29.0%
▼21.0
October 10
28.5%
▼21.0
October 23
28.5%
▼21.5
October 21
28.0%
▼22.0
October 3
24.0%
▼25.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
