Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 30" at 32.0% on "Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $179 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
November 30
▼3.032%
PoliticsVol $179Total volume $13KLiquidity $22Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30
32.0%
▼3.0
October 31
10.0%
–

Probability over time

November 30
October 31
025507510010/110/710/1310/1910/2510/31
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.