Sonora Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
8.037%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $235Kin 10 months (Jun 6)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
36.5%
8.0
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
26.6%
9.6
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
20.4%
7.7
Javier Lamarque Cano
7.50%
1.0
Lilly Téllez García
7.05%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
6.20%
1.1
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5.00%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
5.00%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
3.55%
1.1
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
3.30%
0.9
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
3.00%
0.5
Patricia Mercado Castro
2.05%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1.10%
1.3
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1.00%
1.5
Rogelio Díaz Brown
0.95%
0.8
Guadalupe María Soto
0.60%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
0.55%
Omar del Valle Colosio
0.50%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
0.40%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.