South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

Polymarket traders put "Marco Rubio" at 46.0% on "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028". Down 4.0%p from yesterday. $854 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 18 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Marco Rubio
▼4.046%
PoliticsVol $854Total volume $854Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 years (Nov 8)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Marco Rubio
46.0%
▼4.0
Ron DeSantis
42.0%
▼3.0
Ted Cruz
41.5%
▲8.0
Pete Hegseth
41.5%
▲4.5
Thomas Massie
39.0%
▲3.0
Donald Trump
37.5%
▲4.0
Elon Musk
37.5%
▲1.5
Josh Hawley
37.5%
▼8.0
Vivek Ramaswamy
36.5%
▲0.5
Ivanka Trump
36.0%
–
Glenn Youngkin
35.5%
▼10.0
Tom Cotton
35.5%
▲2.0
Donald Trump Jr.
35.0%
▲2.0
Rand Paul
35.0%
▼1.0
Brian Kemp
34.0%
▲0.5
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
30.5%
▼5.5
Greg Abbott
30.5%
▼2.5
Marjorie Taylor Greene
29.5%
▼14.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.