Spain General Election: 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "PSOE" at 70.0% on "Spain General Election: 2nd Place". $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
PSOE
–70%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $5Liquidity $22Kin 1 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
PSOE
70.0%
–
Vox
25.5%
–
Broad Front (FA)
25.5%
–
Podemos
16.5%
–
PP
15.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.