Spain General Election: Ávila 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "PSOE" at 46.0% on "Spain General Election: Ávila 2nd Place". Up 17.0%p from yesterday. $60 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
PSOE
▲17.046%
PoliticsVol $60Total volume $80Liquidity $713in 25 days (Nov 30)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
PSOE
46.0%
▲17.0
Vox
39.5%
▼11.0
Podemos
38.3%
▼6.2
PP
38.2%
▼8.0

Probability over time

PSOE
Vox
Podemos
PP
025507510011/411/5
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.