Spain General Election: Barcelona 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "ERC" at 43.0% on "Spain General Election: Barcelona 2nd Place". Down 23.5%p from yesterday. $146 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
ERC
▼23.543%
PoliticsVol $146Total volume $146Liquidity $459in 25 days (Nov 30)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
ERC
43.0%
▼23.5
PSOE
42.0%
▼2.0
Broad Front (FA)
40.5%
▼2.5
Vox
40.0%
▼1.5
PP
22.5%
▼0.5

Probability over time

ERC
PSOE
Broad Front (FA)
Vox
PP
025507510011/411/5
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.