Spain General Election: Broad Front (FA) # of seats?

Polymarket traders put "9-11" at 43.5% on "Spain General Election: Broad Front (FA) # of seats?". Up 16.5%p from yesterday. $822 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
9-11
▲16.544%
PoliticsVol $822Total volume $822Liquidity $1.6Kin 1 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
9-11
43.5%
▲16.5
6-8
28.5%
▲2.5
<6
17.5%
▼9.0
15-17
15.0%
▼11.0
18+
11.0%
▼14.5
12-14
8.50%
▼17.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.