Spain General Election: Guadalajara 2nd Place

Polymarket traders put "Vox" at 49.0% on "Spain General Election: Guadalajara 2nd Place". $142 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
Vox
–49%
PoliticsVol $142Total volume $142Liquidity $21Kin 26 days (Nov 30)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Vox
49.0%
–
PSOE
41.0%
–
Podemos
40.8%
–
Broad Front (FA)
38.7%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.