Spain General Election: Guadalajara Winner

Polymarket traders put "PP" at 69.0% on "Spain General Election: Guadalajara Winner". Up 19.5%p from yesterday. $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
PP
▲19.569%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $1.1Kin 1 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
PP
69.0%
▲19.5
PSOE
22.5%
▼27.0
Vox
17.5%
▼32.0
Podemos
6.05%
▼43.5
Broad Front (FA)
4.05%
▼45.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.