Spain General Election: Left-Right Seat Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Right 1-9 seats" at 30.0% on "Spain General Election: Left-Right Seat Margin of Victory". $171 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.
Most likely right now
Right 1-9 seats
–30%
PoliticsVol $171Total volume $171Liquidity $4.2Kin 26 days (Nov 30)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Right 1-9 seats
30.0%
–
Right 70-79 seats
28.0%
–
Right 40-49 seats
26.0%
–
Right 80+ seats
25.0%
–
Right 50-59 seats
24.5%
–
Left 1+ seats
24.5%
–
Right 60-69 seats
23.5%
–
Right 30-39 seats
23.0%
–
Right 10-19 seats
23.0%
–
Right 20-29 seats
20.5%
–
Tie
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
