Spain General Election: PP-PSOE Seat Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "PP 1-7 seats" at 37.5% on "Spain General Election: PP-PSOE Seat Margin of Victory". $272 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.
Most likely right now
PP 1-7 seats
–38%
PoliticsVol $272Total volume $272Liquidity $22Kin 26 days (Nov 30)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
PP 1-7 seats
37.5%
–
PP 22-28 seats
37.0%
–
PP 15-21 seats
36.5%
–
PP 8-14 seats
34.5%
–
PSOE 8+ seats
5.50%
–
Tie
3.45%
–
PSOE 1-7 seats
3.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
