Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?

Polymarket traders put "26-28%" at 23.5% on "Spain General Election: PSOE % of vote?". Up 9.0%p from yesterday. $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
26-28%
▲9.024%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $1.5KLiquidity $1.5Kin 1 months (Nov 30)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
26-28%
23.5%
▲9.0
30%+
22.0%
–
24-26%
20.0%
▲5.5
28-30%
19.5%
▲2.5
<24%
7.50%
▼7.0

Probability over time

26-28%
30%+
24-26%
28-30%
<24%
025507510010/2210/23
2026-10-22 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.