Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Hakeem Jeffries" at 83.5% on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Hakeem Jeffries
▲1.084%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $5.5KLiquidity $111KComments 1in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Hakeem Jeffries
83.5%
▲1.0
Mike Johnson
6.90%
–
Pete Aguilar
5.05%
▲0.9
Katherine Clark
4.55%
–
Jim Jordan
4.55%
–
Steve Scalise
3.80%
–
Probability over time
Hakeem Jeffries
Mike Johnson
Pete Aguilar
Katherine Clark
Jim Jordan
Steve Scalise
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
