Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Polymarket traders put "Hakeem Jeffries" at 82.5% on "Speaker of the House after the midterms?". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $403 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 3.

Most likely right now
Hakeem Jeffries
4.583%
PoliticsVol $403Total volume $3.0KLiquidity $24KComments 1in 4 months (Jan 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Hakeem Jeffries
82.5%
4.5
Mike Johnson
8.50%
2.1
Jim Jordan
5.60%
Katherine Clark
5.45%
3.9
Steve Scalise
4.10%
0.8
Pete Aguilar
2.00%

Probability over time

Hakeem Jeffries
Mike Johnson
Jim Jordan
Katherine Clark
Steve Scalise
Pete Aguilar
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.