Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?" at 9.5%. $29K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
–10%
PoliticsVol $29KTotal volume $642KLiquidity $258Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
9.50%
–

Probability over time

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.