Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Polymarket traders put "Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?" at 10.5%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▲0.511%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $119KLiquidity $12KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
10.5%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
