Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?" at 21.0%. Up 3.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
3.521%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $19KLiquidity $1.4KComments 2in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
21.0%
3.5

Probability over time

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.