Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?" at 11.5%. It resolves on Jan 2.

Most likely right now
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
–12%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $26KLiquidity $12KComments 2in 3 months (Jan 2)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
11.5%
–

Probability over time

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.