Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?

Polymarket traders put "Opposition by 3–4" at 96.7% on "Sweden Election: Tidö vs Opposition Seat Margin?". $8.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
Opposition by 3–4
97%
PoliticsVol $8.3KTotal volume $6.3KLiquidity $84Kin 14 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Opposition by 3–4
96.7%
Opposition by 1–2
2.65%
Tidö by 1–2
0.60%
Opposition by 5–6
0.20%
Opposition by 7+
0.05%
Tidö by 3–4
0.05%
Tidö by 5+
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.