Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "S 7-10%" at 48.5% on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 13.

Most likely right now
S 7-10%
5.549%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $28Kin 3 days (Sep 13)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
S 7-10%
48.5%
5.5
S 4-7%
22.0%
23.0
S 10-13%
16.0%
11.0
S 13%+
8.50%
17.5
S <4%
6.00%
9.5
Another Party Wins
2.50%
21.0

Probability over time

S 7-10%
S 4-7%
S 10-13%
S 13%+
S <4%
Another Party Wins
02550751009/99/10
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.