Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Thomas Aeschi" at 43.0% on "Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner". $53 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 10.

Most likely right now
Thomas Aeschi
–43%
PoliticsVol $53Total volume $53Liquidity $1.7Kin 1 months (Dec 10)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Thomas Aeschi
43.0%
–
Jean-Pierre Gallati
31.5%
–
Céline Amaudruz
28.5%
–
Marco Chiesa
28.5%
–
Michael Graber
26.0%
–
Franz Ruppen
26.0%
–
Pierre Alain Schnegg
25.5%
–
Rémy Wyssmann
25.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.