Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
Polymarket traders put "War Material amendment" at 64.5% on "Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 29.
Most likely right now
War Material amendment
–65%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.9KLiquidity $101Kin 3 months (Nov 29)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
War Material amendment
64.5%
–
VAT federal decree
52.5%
–
Marriage taxation initiative
31.5%
▲0.5
Fireworks restriction initiative
23.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
