Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Talarico 0-3%" at 25.0% on "Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $367 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Talarico 0-3%
▲0.525%
PoliticsVol $367Total volume $12KLiquidity $173Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Talarico 0-3%
25.0%
▲0.5
Paxton 0-3%
22.5%
–
Talarico 3-6%
20.5%
–
Talarico 6-9%
13.0%
▲2.5
Talarico 9-12%
6.45%
▼1.8
Paxton 3-6%
6.25%
▼2.3
Talarico 12%+
4.75%
–
Paxton 6-9%
2.35%
▼1.3
Paxton 9-12%
2.30%
–
Paxton 12%+
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Talarico 0-3%
Paxton 0-3%
Talarico 3-6%
Talarico 6-9%
Talarico 9-12%
Paxton 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
