Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Paxton 3-6%
▼9.023%
PoliticsVol $130Total volume $2.1KLiquidity $70Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Paxton 3-6%
23.0%
▼9.0
Talarico 0-3%
20.0%
▲1.0
Paxton 0-3%
18.0%
▲2.5
Talarico 6-9%
11.5%
▲2.0
Talarico 3-6%
8.50%
▼2.5
Paxton 6-9%
4.95%
▲0.9
Paxton 12%+
4.50%
▲2.9
Talarico 9-12%
3.15%
–
Paxton 9-12%
1.75%
–
Talarico 12%+
1.40%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
