TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 38.3% on "TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–38%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $991Liquidity $19Kin 15 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
38.3%
–
Republican 20-25%
38.3%
▲1.0
Republican 5-10%
38.1%
▲0.8
Republican 30-35%
37.4%
–
Republican 15-20%
30.7%
▼5.3
Republican 10-15%
19.6%
–
Republican 35%+
19.1%
–
Democrat Wins
4.80%
▼30.6
Republican 0-5%
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %
