Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Lei Paasi" at 29.5% on "Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner". Down 13.5%p from yesterday. $632 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.

Most likely right now
Lei Paasi
13.530%
PoliticsVol $632Total volume $632Liquidity $1.3Kin 28 days (Oct 8)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lei Paasi
29.5%
13.5
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
26.0%
Samiuela Vea
23.0%
2.0
Alvin Lafu Sika
21.0%
21.0
'Olioni Manoa
20.5%
6.5
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
20.0%
6.5
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
19.5%
6.5
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
17.5%
27.5
Mounu Uaisele
7.80%
18.2

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.