Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 34.5% on "Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?". There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
35%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $241KLiquidity $16Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
34.5%
September 30
9.50%
1.0
August 31
1.95%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.