Troy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "9+ points behind" at 27.5% on "Troy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)". $228 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
9+ points behind
–28%
PoliticsVol $228Total volume $228Liquidity $23Kin 20 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
9+ points behind
27.5%
–
3-6 points behind
24.0%
–
6-9 points behind
20.0%
–
0-3 points behind
11.5%
–
Runs ahead
11.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.