Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 63.5% on "Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
2.564%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $100Liquidity $1.3Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
63.5%
2.5
October 31
50.0%
1.5
September 30
31.5%
18.0

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
September 30
02550751009/119/12
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.