Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 71.0% on "Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?". Up 15.5%p from yesterday. $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
15.571%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $1.2Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
71.0%
15.5
September 30
52.0%
12.0
September 15
8.50%
14.5

Probability over time

October 31
September 30
September 15
02550751009/119/12
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.