Trump approval rating at least ___ on November 6?

Polymarket traders put "36.0+" at 97.8% on "Trump approval rating at least ___ on November 6?". $3.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.

Most likely right now
36.0+
–98%
PoliticsVol $3.5KTotal volume $3.5KLiquidity $4.1Kin 7 days (Nov 7)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
36.0+
97.8%
–
37.0+
95.5%
–
38.0+
75.0%
–
39.0+
19.5%
–
40.0+
12.0%
–
41.0+
1.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.