Trump approval rating on October 9?

Polymarket traders put "37.5–37.9" at 33.0% on "Trump approval rating on October 9?". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $251 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.

Most likely right now
37.5–37.9
▲6.533%
PoliticsVol $251Total volume $251Liquidity $2.1Kin 6 days (Oct 10)
Current probability

Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
37.5–37.9
33.0%
▲6.5
37.0–37.4
31.0%
▲4.5
36.5–36.9
21.0%
▼5.5
36.0–36.4
15.0%
–
38.0+
14.0%
▼12.5
<36.0
11.5%
▲0.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.