Trump declares a national emergency by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 39.5% on "Trump declares a national emergency by...?". $3 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–40%
PoliticsVol $3Total volume $3Liquidity $426in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
39.5%
–
November 30
27.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
