Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip?

Polymarket traders put "Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip?" at 1.5%. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip?
–1%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $11Kin 19 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip?
1.45%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.