Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "↓ 2%" at 99.7% on "Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". Up 49.6%p from yesterday. $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
↓ 2%
▲49.6100%
PoliticsVol $3.1KTotal volume $3.1KLiquidity $36Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↓ 2%
99.7%
▲49.6
↑ 4%
15.5%
▼34.0
↑ 5%
7.50%
▲0.5

Probability over time

↓ 2%
↑ 4%
↑ 5%
025507510011/411/5
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.